As If the Debate Weren’t Enough…

The Washington Post‘s Chris Cillizza notes today that in almost every state, Team Obama is massively outspending Team McCain PLUS the Republican National Committee and in so doing, forcing the McCainites to make tough choices about which battleground states to contest and to spend their finite money defending their own turf.

From Sept. 30 to Oct. 6, Obama spent more than $20 million on television ads in 17 states including more than $3 million in Pennsylvania and more than $2 million each in Florida, Michigan and Ohio. McCain in that same time frame spent just $7.2 million in 15 states. Even when the Republican National Committee’s independent expenditure spending in Indiana, Michigan, Ohio, Pennsylvania, Virginia and Wisconsin is factored in (a total of $5.3 million), Obama still outspent the combined GOP forces by roughly $8 million in the last week alone

Cillizza notes that the air war is not confined to battleground states; in states like Virginia and North Carolina – which have voted Red since 1964 – Obama is pouring advertising in at a prodigious rate: In North Carolina, Obama spent about $1.5 million on television commercials last week while McCain spent only $137,000. In Virginia, Obama spent $1.6 million on ads last week while McCain and the RNC together only spent $909,000. Not surprisingly, perhaps, both states are now toss-ups in many pollsters’ calculations. accounting services fine

Getting In Touch With My McCain Side…

Seven homes and – we learn today (well, I did anyway) – thirteen cars to motor amongst them.  From where Senator McCain lives, I guess the fundamentals of our economy truly are strong. Who says John McCain isn’t in touch with the rest of us?

Not surprisingly, Team Obama jumped all over this one, particularly after Senator McCain played a little fast and loose with a Michigan television station when trumpeting his buying habits (turns out part of the McCain motor pool is foreign-made).

I’m sure if I played for the other team, I’d feel outraged, but since Team McCain is still running ads claiming Sarah Palin “stopped the bridge to Nowhere” I’m having trouble mustering much upsettedness.

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Another Data Point…Or Four

Quinnipiac, along with the Wall Street Journal and the Washington Post, has today released head-to-head survey results from four battleground states:

  • COLORADO: Obama 49 – McCain 44
  • MICHIGAN: Obama 48 – McCain 42
  • MINNESOTA: Obama 54 – McCain 37
  • WISCONSIN: Obama 52 – McCain 39

Interestingly, but not surprisingly, President Bush’s approve/disapprove ratings in those states are abysmal:

  • 31 – 63 percent in Colorado
  • 26 – 67 percent in Michigan
  • 24 – 70 percent in Minnesota
  • 27 – 67 percent in Wisconsin

And are particularly telling because Senator McCain’s fav/unfav ratings are roughly on par with Senator Obama’s (albeit a bit lower).

And, as a data point for the “will it or won’t it” discussion on Senator Obama’s decision to reject public financing, the surveys were conducted June 17-24 so there should be some reflection of the impact of that decision in those numbers.

In the Minnesota breakouts, there are some interesting nuggets as well, including the news that Senator Coleman is leading Mr. Franken, 51-41, and that Minnesotans would be slightly less likely to vote Republican if Governor Pawlenty joins the ticket.

Let’s hope Team Franken is reading Brother Loveland’s prescriptions for how to close the gap.

The link to the survey results is worth checking out for you polling junkies because it contains lots and lots of data including the actual questions and results plus some crosstabs (do they still call them “crosstabs”?).  Margin of error in each state was under 3%.

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