Franken Questioning the Question

The embattled Franken for U.S. Senate campaign is fielding questions today about survey findings showing that Mr. Franken’s tax problems make most Minnesotans less likely to support him (59%). Half (51%) say he should withdraw from the race. Tough stuff.

In a Strib online story, the Franken campaign officials said the survey is “deeply troubling from a spin standpoint, but from a social studies standpoint, as well.” Social studies? Are we having middle school flashbacks?

The point the Frankenites were trying to make had to do with survey methodology: Did the following survey question fairly portray the situation at hand?

Al Franken the DFL candidate for U.S. Senate said he will pay about $70,000 in back income taxes to 17 states for incorrectly filing his tax returns over a five-year period. He also paid a fine to the state of New York for not paying for workers compensation insurance for workers he employed there. Knowing this, would you be more likely to vote for Al Franken for U.S. Senate? Less likely? Or would it not make a difference?

Is that fair wording? I don’t think so. To me, fair wording would have gone something like this:

Al Franken the DFL candidate for U. S. Senate said he has been paying his taxes in the wrong states over a five-year period. Franken says in 17 states he did not pay enough taxes, and in those states he will pay about $70,000 in back taxes, interest and a fine. At the same time, Franken says in two states he paid too much in taxes, and in those states he will apply for a tax refund of about $XX,XXX. On a second unrelated issue, Franken paid a fine to the state of New York for not paying for workers compensation insurance for workers he employed there. Knowing this, would you be more likely to vote for Al Franken for U.S. Senate? Less likely? Or would it not make a difference?

So, I do agree with the Franken campaign that the question used in this poll did not fairly and completely describe Franken’s situation.

BUT, I’m not convinced Franken would have faired substantially better with more complete and accurate wording. There’s a lot of complexity for citizens to process on this issue. The problem for Franken is that there will be tendency for many citizens to avoid the complexity and conclude “well, the media and the other politicians may be hyping the situation a bit, but the fact remains that Franken did get caught with some serious tax problems, and that concerns me.”

I’ve been skeptical about the Franken candidacy for other reasons, and the past month of tax disclosures aggravates an already difficult situation. Because the fundamentals are so strong for Democrats, they still have a shot at beating Norm Coleman. But increasingly it looks as if Al Franken doesn’t give them their best shot.

- Loveland

6 Responses to “Franken Questioning the Question”

  1. The more I listen to the guy, the less intelligent and informed he seems. God knows intelligence ain’t a requirement for the Senate, but he is pretty lame on all fronts.

  2. Everyone was *something* before he or she became a politician — possible exceptions being Kennedys and Bushes.

    Franken was a comedian and/or satirist. Ronald Reagan was an actor. Ron Paul was a doctor. W Bush ran an oil company and owned a baseball team. I’m sure more than a few others were used car salesmen and ambulance chasing lawyers and all sorts dumbasses and assholes.

    I think many discount Franken’s potential as a candidate because “he’s just a comedian.” That’s bullshit and relying on that as a criticism will lead to failure.

  3. I’m not saying Franken’s background as a comedian disqualifies him from running for Senate. I’m saying it constitutes a big handicap.

    This is Franken’s reality:

    On screen, he made his living trying to look goofy. Most self-conscious Minnesotans don’t want their senator to be goofy, particularly fresh off of a Ventura hangover.

    In books and on the radio, he made his living berating people with over the top language. Most kindly Minnesotans don’t want their Senator to be petty and mean.

    And Mr. Franken wasn’t just goofy and mean in the relative privacy of his office, the way most of us are. He was goofy and mean in front of millions of people, in well-documented fashion.

    In these ways, Franken’s background makes him uniquely handicapped to win election to the U.S. Senate from a place like Minnesota. He had to run a near perfect race to overcome the handicap, and it hasn’t been perfect.

  4. Fair enough. My comment wasn’t directed at you, though. Just a general rant against that “he’s just a comedian” stance.

  5. Yeah, my deal is not really “he’s just a comedian.” My deal is “he’s a comedian so there is a lot to overcome.”

  6. Ironically, the voters most likely to understand and be sympathetic to Franken’s tax situation are Republican business owners.

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